NBA Public Betting Record 2026-27How often does the public win?
Every graded market of the 2026-27 season where the public had a single consensus side (905 so far). A consensus side needs to hit more than 52.4% to beat a typical 1.91 price — anything less loses money to the vig.
Overall
52.5%
475–430 on 905 markets
Worst losing streak
9
consecutive consensus misses
Not counted
9
pushes and voids
Match tips by consensus strength
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| 75%+ consensus | 68–42 | 61.8% |
| 60–74% consensus | 74–66 | 52.9% |
| 50–59% consensus | 39–38 | 50.6% |
Player props by consensus strength
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| 75%+ consensus | 271–248 | 52.2% |
| 60–74% consensus | 21–36 | 36.8% |
| 50–59% consensus | 2–0 | n < 30 |
Match tips by source type
Each source type's own consensus: the side it mentioned most on the market, graded against the result.
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Community | 63–62 | 50.4% |
| Tipsters | 159–133 | 54.5% |
| Models | 164–125 | 56.7% |
Player props by source type
Each source type's own consensus: the side it mentioned most on the market, graded against the result.
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Community | 95–96 | 49.7% |
| Tipsters | 188–191 | 49.6% |
| Models | 198–168 | 54.1% |
Tips vs props
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Player props | 294–284 | 50.9% |
| Match tips | 181–146 | 55.4% |
By market
| Group | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Points Over/Under | 115–123 | 48.3% |
| Moneyline | 77–40 | 65.8% |
| Total Points | 50–61 | 45.0% |
| Home Spread | 54–45 | 54.5% |
| Rebounds Over/Under | 33–40 | 45.2% |
| Assists Over/Under | 40–29 | 58.0% |
| Pts+Reb+Ast Over/Under | 26–32 | 44.8% |
| Pts+Ast Over/Under | 25–11 | 69.4% |
| Pts+Reb Over/Under | 21–15 | 58.3% |
| Threes Made Over/Under | 15–20 | 42.9% |
| Reb+Ast Over/Under | 9–5 | n < 30 |
| Double-Double | 4–3 | n < 30 |
| Blocks Over/Under | 5–1 | n < 30 |
| Steals Over/Under | 1–3 | n < 30 |
| Triple-Double | 0–2 | n < 30 |
Latest report · Nov 2, 2026
NBA & NHL public consensus: week 44, 2026
How the betting public's consensus did in week 44 of 2026: 1318 graded NBA and NHL markets by sport, market type and consensus strength, plus the most mentioned markets.
Records are never reset. Ties at the top, pushes and voids are excluded; tips need at least 5 mentions, player props at least 2. Download every graded market as CSV or read how we grade. Past results do not predict future ones.